Like a world-class chess player, scenario planning allows you to anticipate moves and counter moves to visualize how the “game” will play out and adjust your strategy and plans before the game begins!
Ironically, the higher up you go in most organizations, the more unreliable and challenging the information that drives decision-making becomes. The main issue is the same as it has always been – behavior. And it is not necessarily a deliberate decision to operate in a certain way – but more about the continuing challenges modern leaders face to balance expectation, ambition, and risk.